260529-短期震荡筑底,中期等待催化,长期坚定看好
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260529-短期震荡筑底,中期等待催化,长期坚定看好
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关键变化（3月31日→5月29日）
- 指标 3月31日 5月29日 变化 影响
- 国际金价~$4,550/oz~$4,500/oz-1.1%小幅下跌
- 国内金价（Au99.99）~1,015 元/克~982 元/克-3.3%回落明显
- VIX恐慌指数31.0515.94↓大幅回落市场恐慌消退
- DXY美元指数100.4999.04-99.32↓小幅走弱利好黄金但有限
- 10年TIPS实际利率2.01%2.15%↑上升利空黄金
- CTA信号卖出（3/24触发）卖出持续—空头持续存在
- COMEX净多单102,236手~93,540手↓进一步下降投机资金离场
- 央行购金连续17个月增持连续18个月增持↑继续增持长期利好
- 美元/人民币~6.86~6.91-6.92↑小幅贬值国内金价有支撑
四大核心驱动逻辑
- 美联储鹰派转向
- 中东局势反复
- 滞胀格局形成
- 技术面关键支撑
adbl_web_anon_alc_button_suppression_c
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