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The Iran war is coming to an end. What leverage do Israel and the U.S. have for what comes next?

Dan Senor is joined by Ed Husain and Nadav Eyal to unpack the fragile aftermath of the U.S.-Israel war with Iran. As Washington signals that the operation is over, Iran is still testing the Strait of Hormuz, its nuclear program remains unresolved, and the regime’s internal fractures may now matter as much as its military capabilities. They discuss what Iran thinks it has won, what the U.S. and Israel actually achieved, and whether the next front is no longer the battlefield, but inside Iran itself.

Read Ed’s article, Iran is Not a Monolith: The Case for Exploiting the Country’s Internal Fractures.

In this episode:

02:42 - What “the operation is over” actually means

06:09 - Iran’s strategy at the Strait of Hormuz

08:42 - Why Tehran may believe it won the war

13:21 - What remains of Iran’s nuclear program

20:15 - Why economic pressure may not be enough

20:54 - The IRGC’s grip on the regime

29:24 - Can Iran’s internal fractures bring down the regime?

34:18 - Israel’s return to a shadow-war strategy

34:51 - The regional alliance needed after the war

38:42 - What the U.S. must do to avoid a nuclear Iran and a closed strait

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Credits: Ilan Benatar, Brittany Cohen, Ava Weiner, Martin Huergo, Mariangeles Burgos, and Yuval Semo