260601-上金所降保缩板,短期震荡偏弱
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260601-上金所降保缩板,短期震荡偏弱
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核心指标一览
- 指标 当前值 5月31日值 变化 影响
- 国内金价(Au99.99)985 元/克985 元/克基本持平中性
- 国际金价(现货)$4,541/盎司$4,540/盎司+$1中性
- VIX 恐慌指数约15-1615.32基本持平🟢 避险溢价低位
- 10年期美债收益率约4.40-4.45%4.45%基本持平⚠️ 压制金价
- 美元指数 DXY约98.998.89基本持平🟢 美元弱势
- USD/CNY约6.786.78基本持平⚠️ 人民币升值削弱国内金价
- Fed基金利率3.50-3.75%3.50-3.75%维持不变中性
- 上金所黄金T+D保证金18%→15%(6/1起)18%下调3个百分点🟢 杠杆提升、波动率预期降低
- 上金所涨跌幅限制17%→14%(6/1起)17%收窄3个百分点🟢 极端波动期结束
重大事件与政策变化
- 上金所降保缩板
- 美伊停火谈判进展
- 美国宏观数据经济放缓信号明确
- 机构共识当前下跌是调整而非趋势反转
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