Episodes

  • 6-19-26 Black Swans, SpaceX, & Retirement Reality

    6-19-26 Black Swans, SpaceX, & Retirement Reality
    Jun 19 2026
    Richard Rosso & Jon Penn connect some of the biggest investing stories with the realities of retirement planning. From Elon Musk, SpaceX, and Social Security to Black Swan events and retirement planning, today's discussion explores how investors get drawn into powerful stories, confirmation bias, and headline-driven decisions. We examine why SpaceX is a unique market outlier, the importance of price discovery, and how unexpected events can have a greater impact on portfolios than most investors anticipate. We also cover retirement spending, liquidity, insurance, Warren Buffett's gifting strategy, AI's impact on inflation, and why every retirement plan should prepare for both opportunity and risk. Plus, a preview of our upcoming "Aging in Place Guide" and a teaser for Candid Coffee. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Elon Musk's Trillion Dollars & Fixing Social Security 5:35 - Space-X Mania: Stocks are Stories 7:05 - Black Swans & Outliers 8:32 - Perspective: Financial Planners are the Party Poopers 12:02 - Confirmation Bias & Algorithms 14:53 - Outliers & Wings of the Black Swan 16:52 - Everyone's Retirement is Different 19:03 - Space-X is an Outlier - No Price Discovery 21:16 - The Retirement Smirk 24:24 - Finding Financial Bandwidth in Retirement 26:00 - PREVIEW: "The Aging in Place Guide" 26:31 - Aggressive Spending in Retirement 28:42 - How Warren Buffett Gifted & Conditional Gifting 29:46 - Dr. Phil Reels & Self-imposed Black Swans 31:49 - Having a little Sexy in your portfolio is okay 34:45 - Dealing with Headline Porn 36:02 - Is AI Inflationary or Dis-inflationary? 37:29 - Liquidity is he Greatest Asset You Can Have 38:43 - Black Swans today & Planning for the Worst 46:53 - Candid Coffee Teaser: Being Properly Insured 50:50 - Creating Black Swans 52:46 - Listening to Bulls AND Bears Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Rq8NxfiiG2I ------- Watch our previous show, "Kevin Warsh's First Day at the Fed" https://youtube.com/live/USe3OhTf1FM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Beyond Protection: What Life Insurance Can Really Do," Saturday, June 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #BlackSwanEvents #SpaceX #FinancialPlanning #Investing
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    55 mins
  • 6-18-26 Kevin Warsh's First Day at the Fed

    6-18-26 Kevin Warsh's First Day at the Fed
    Jun 18 2026
    What happens when a new Federal Reserve Chair takes office during a period of elevated market valuations, persistent inflation concerns, and growing pressure on interest rate policy? Lance Roberts discusses what investors should watch on Kevin Warsh's first day at the Fed, including potential shifts in monetary policy, inflation management, interest rates, bond markets, and stock valuations. Will the new leadership signal a more hawkish approach, a more market-friendly stance, or simply a continuation of current policy? Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:02 - A Very Different Fed Presser - Markets Did Not Like It 2:37 - Gobsmacked on America - No Beer in Boston 4:55 - Markets Grapple with End-of Quarter Blues 11:11 - Fattening or Immoral 11:42 - Editing the Fed Statement 13:31 - Kevin Warsh Press Conference clip - Impact of Oil on Economic Data 18:02 - Kevin Warch on 2% Inflation Target 19:55 - Changes in Fed Forward Guidance 23:47 - Fed Initiatives 31:23 - The Magnitude of Change at the Fed 28:05 - The Five Fed Task Forces 32:25 - Fed Communications 34:01 - The Fed Balance Sheet 35:06 - Reliance on More Instant Data 39:09 - Productivity & Jobs 39:29 - The Fed's Inflation Framework 42:08 - How Warsh Will Lead the Fed Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/USe3OhTf1FM ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Market Pennant: Breakout or Breakdown?" here: https://youtu.be/tYu7hYTjg_g ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: What Matters Now?" https://youtube.com/live/ZBK984RQuvk ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "May Inflation Print: Why the 4.2% Headline Is an Oil Story," https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/may-inflation-print-why-the-4-2-headline-is-an-oil-story/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Beyond Protection: What Life Insurance Can Really Do," Saturday, June 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #PortfolioManagement #FederalReserve #KevinWarsh #InterestRates #StockMarket
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    45 mins
  • 6-18-26 Market Pennant: Breakout or Breakdown? | Before the Bell

    6-18-26 Market Pennant: Breakout or Breakdown? | Before the Bell
    Jun 18 2026
    Markets pulled back on Wednesday as momentum continues to weaken and technical signals become more important. A developing pennant pattern is creating a pivotal setup, with rising support meeting lower overhead resistance. The next move could determine whether markets push to new highs or retest key support levels at the 50-DMA and potentially the 100-DMA. We also discuss why the end of June can be a more challenging period for stocks as corporate buyback blackouts begin and quarter-end portfolio rebalancing approaches. With technology and semiconductor stocks significantly outperforming, fund managers may be forced to trim winners and rotate capital into underweighted areas such as bonds. While there is nothing overtly bearish happening, market breadth remains narrow, momentum has weakened, and technical conditions suggest investors should remain disciplined. We review the risks, key support levels, and why taking profits in extended positions may be prudent as markets work through this consolidation phase. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/tYu7hYTjg_g --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Beyond Protection: What Life Insurance Can Really Do," 8am Saturday, June 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #PortfolioManagement
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    6 mins
  • 6-17-26 Q&A Wednesday: What Matters Now?

    6-17-26 Q&A Wednesday: What Matters Now?
    Jun 17 2026
    Markets have rebounded sharply from their recent correction, but investors are now asking what comes next. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff answer your questions about the economy, interest rates, inflation, market valuations, bonds, retirement planning, artificial intelligence, geopolitics, and the biggest risks facing investors today. Will the Federal Reserve remain on hold? How could oil prices, earnings growth, and consumer spending impact markets during the second half of the year? Are stocks becoming too expensive, or is the bull market still intact? We break down the latest economic developments and provide practical insights to help you navigate today's rapidly changing environment. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:02 - Markets Selloff, Semi's Consolidate 3:03 - Kevin Warsh Presser Preview 6:41 - Oil Prices Direct Feed Into Economic Data 12:48 - Repricing Stocks to Oil 15:09 - Software Stocks' Catalyst 17:04 - Nvidia Bond Offering & Need for High Quality 19:14 - Momentum Markets in Space Stocks 23:11 - Time to take Profits in Space-X? 26:52 - The Fed's 2% Target 28:44 - WWWD - What Will Warsh Do? 30:19 - Total Bond Funds - Not a great place to be 32:29 - Bonds in a Roth IRA? 34:30 - Shifting Portfolio Allocations 37:36 - Make Sure Allocation Represents Three Things: 40:57 - Why the 60/40 Allocation is Best 45:39 - Is Private Credit Still "a Problem"? 47:05 - Annuities in 401k's? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO,w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ZBK984RQuvk ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Oil's Next Move Matters," here: https://youtu.be/EkUK7BwDUC4 ------- Watch our previous show, "SpaceX Mania: What Happens After the Hype?" https://youtube.com/live/Xr1Ut115-xA ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "May Inflation Print: Why the 4.2% Headline Is an Oil Story," https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/may-inflation-print-why-the-4-2-headline-is-an-oil-story/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Beyond Protection: What Life Insurance Can Really Do," Saturday, June 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #CrudeOil #StockMarket #Inflation #Investing #FederalReserve #EconomicOutlook #WealthManagement
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    50 mins
  • 6-17-26 Oil's Next Move Matters | Before the Bell

    6-17-26 Oil's Next Move Matters | Before the Bell
    Jun 17 2026
    Markets remain near all-time highs but struggled to break higher, fading into Tuesday's close and showing little direction ahead of the open. While stocks search for a catalyst, oil prices may hold the key to the next move in inflation and investor sentiment. Despite geopolitical tensions, disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, and concerns over global supply, crude oil has remained rangebound. Now, with an Iran agreement announced and oil prices drifting toward their 200-day moving average, investors are asking whether energy prices are headed lower or preparing for another spike. In today's pre-market update, we discuss the technical setup in oil, the impact of Middle East developments, where supply and demand fundamentals suggest prices may stabilize, and why the $65-$75 range could remain the long-term sweet spot for producers and consumers alike. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/EkUK7BwDUC4 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Beyond Protection: What Life Insurance Can Really Do," 8am Saturday, June 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #CrudeOil #StockMarket #Inflation #Investing
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    5 mins
  • 6-16-26 SpaceX Mania: What Happens After the Hype?

    6-16-26 SpaceX Mania: What Happens After the Hype?
    Jun 16 2026
    SpaceX has become one of the most anticipated investment stories in modern market history. Between Elon Musk's popularity, the company's technological achievements, and years of speculation about a public offering, investor excitement is reaching fever pitch. But what happens after the hype? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine the lessons to be learned from previous high-profile IPOs, and why some of the biggest investing mistakes occur after the initial excitement fades. We discuss valuation, investor psychology, momentum chasing, and the risks that emerge when enthusiasm becomes disconnected from fundamentals. We also look at the growing speculative interest surrounding leveraged products tied to the SpaceX theme, and why investors should be cautious when Wall Street starts packaging excitement into increasingly aggressive investment vehicles. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - America's 250th Anniversary Time Capsule & Space-X IPO 3:48 - The Bullish Setup Returns 8:18 - Back from Vacay... 9:32 - IPO's & Space-X 12:04 - What Happens Next - the Advantage in Waiting 14:19 - The FOMO Factor 17:53 - What Could Possibly Go Wrong? 19:02 - Has AI Lost Steam? (The New U.S.Industrial Revolution) 21:37 - What's Next After Iran War? (Economic Pressure Index) 24:08 - Two Things Driving Markets: Profitability & Optimistic Earnings Estimates 25:17 - Italian Gasoline Prices 28:38 - Interest Rates, Bonds, & Kevin Warsh at the Fed 33:59 - A Tip about TIPS 35:44 - Why You Should Own Some Bonds 37:59 - The Three Components of Investing: Safety, Liquidity, & Returns 41:01 - Annuities as Bond "Alternatives?" Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO,w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Xr1Ut115-xA ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Bullish Setup Returns," here: https://youtu.be/ox4_xMsXqt4 ------- Watch our previous show, "Bull Market Pullback - Is the Correction Over?" https://youtube.com/live/csXApjrvlNY?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "May Inflation Print: Why the 4.2% Headline Is an Oil Story," https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/may-inflation-print-why-the-4-2-headline-is-an-oil-story/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Beyond Protection: What Life Insurance Can Really Do," Saturday, June 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketUpdate #Investing #ArtificialIntelligence #SectorRotation #SpaceX #ElonMusk #IPO #Bonds #Annuities #KevinWarsh
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    46 mins
  • 6-16-26 Bullish Setup Returns | Before the Bell

    6-16-26 Bullish Setup Returns | Before the Bell
    Jun 16 2026
    Markets continue to recover from the recent 4.5% correction, holding above the 20-day moving average and setting up a potential run toward new all-time highs. Relative strength is improving, momentum indicators are beginning to reverse higher, and a new buy signal could provide additional fuel for the rally as we move into historically strong July seasonality. In today's pre-market update, we examine why the recent pullback may have cleared the path for further gains, how declining oil prices are helping support risk assets, and why the reopening of global energy supply routes could create additional downward pressure on crude prices. We also review the latest sector rotation trends. Technology, AI, momentum, and high-beta stocks continue to attract capital, while energy stocks weaken alongside falling oil prices. However, some of the market's largest mega-cap stocks are becoming increasingly oversold, raising the possibility of another rotation beneath the surface. Are investors chasing momentum at exactly the right time, or is the next market rotation already beginning? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/ox4_xMsXqt4 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Beyond Protection: What Life Insurance Can Really Do," 8am Saturday, June 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketUpdate #Investing #ArtificialIntelligence #SectorRotation
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    3 mins
  • 6-15-26 Bull Market Pullback - Is the Correction Over?

    6-15-26 Bull Market Pullback - Is the Correction Over?
    Jun 15 2026
    The market finally delivered the pullback we expected, with stocks retreating roughly 4.5% before finding support at the 50-day moving average. Was that enough to reset bullish sentiment, or is another correction still ahead? In this episode, Lance Roberts examines why the 50-DMA remains one of the most important technical support levels during an ongoing bull market and whether the recent decline was simply a healthy pause within a larger uptrend. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:54 - Launching another Holiday-shortened Week 6:17 - Market Pullback Enables Stock Buys 12:26 - Roberts Family Travel Travails 26:55 - Markets Pull Back 35:13 - Bond Yields Now Exceed Yield on Equities 37:42 - Market Analysis Now 40:16 - How to Trade Now (Avoid Narratives) 46:38 - World Cup & Social Media Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/csXApjrvlNY?feature=share ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "S6-15-26 Bull Market Pullback Held" here: https://youtu.be/rat_wi7b9eM ------- Watch our previous show, "Aging Alone: The Financial, Legal, and Caregiving Plan" https://youtube.com/live/1xGIEPzZgQQ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Beyond Protection: What Life Insurance Can Really Do," Saturday, June 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketCorrection #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #BullMarket #MarketCorrection
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    50 mins