Why the Fed Is Stuck Between Sticky Inflation and a Cooling Labor Market

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Why the Fed Is Stuck Between Sticky Inflation and a Cooling Labor Market

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The Federal Reserve is in a bind as mid-2026 arrives. Core PCE inflation hit 3.4 percent in May, the highest since October 2023, yet the unemployment rate is stuck at 4.3 percent and job openings rebounded sharply in April to 7.6 million. Lucas and Luna unpack why the Fed can't cut rates despite a slowing economy, drawing on the latest data and a historical comparison to the 1970s stop-go cycle. They also discuss why consumers are feeling the squeeze even as the headline GDP number looks solid. A concrete look at the trade-offs facing Jerome Powell and the FOMC. #FederalReserve #Inflation #CorePCE #Unemployment #InterestRates #MonetaryPolicy #JeromePowell #FOMC #StopGoCycle #1970sInflation #LaborMarket #JOLTS #JobOpenings #ConsumerSpending #RealGDP #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo

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